PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3723E02eEB50b34B030B22439E8d8c75d13C44d5-1753475099234

0x3723e02eeb50b34b030b22439e8d8c75d13c44d5

Realised P&L
$-195.05
Volume
$2.3k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$7.79

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration62.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1400.022$3.21$16.79
Pelicans vs. Thunder · Thunder0.8701.000$2.30+$0.30
Kings vs. Knicks · Knicks0.8801.000$2.27+$0.27
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.1240.000$0.00$5.00
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00$10.03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$5.00
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on October 20? · Yes0.7770.000$0.00$20.00
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-21? · No0.3800.000$0.00$20.00
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$5.00
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? · Yes0.0950.000$0.00$110.00
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31? · No0.0380.000$0.00$1.00
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on August 31? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15? · No0.1190.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-27 22:46Kings vs. KnicksBUY0.88$2.00
01-27 22:44Pelicans vs. ThunderBUY0.8699999913$2.00
01-20 20:43Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?BUY0.0949999961$20.00
01-20 20:43Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?BUY0.094999998$40.00
01-20 20:42Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?SELL0.5$57.69
01-20 20:42Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?BUY0.0941259821$50.00
01-04 21:41Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?BUY0.1399999948$20.00
01-04 15:21Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?BUY0.1239999803$5.00
01-04 15:11Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?BUY0.3099999622$5.00
11-08 17:05Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5199999976$60.00
10-21 15:13OpenAI browser by October 31?BUY0.08$10.00
10-21 14:22Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-21?BUY0.3799999951$20.00
10-21 14:21Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-10-21?BUY0.2099998677$1.00
10-20 09:55Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on October 20?BUY0.7769999963$20.00
10-20 09:11Will Alaves win on 2025-10-20?BUY0.5799999942$30.00