castrojonathas50
0x3720fc5847c401bd2041c9699e9a0af281c17ec5
- Realised P&L
- $-16.92
- Volume
- $779.94
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $29.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration38.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will EC Juventude win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.575 | $29.00 | +$1.26 |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.67at 0.970Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Italy?
- +$0.49at 0.952Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 1 Venezuela?
- +$0.25at 0.953Exact Score: Grêmio Novorizontino 0 - 1 Goiás EC?
- +$0.19at 0.952Will Germany win on 2026-10-01?
- +$0.16at 0.968Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 1 Türkiye?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 20:39 | Will EC Juventude win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.549999996 | $27.74 |
| 10-02 20:25 | Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Italy? | SELL | 0.999 | $22.70 |
| 10-02 19:27 | Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 1 Türkiye? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.16 |
| 10-02 13:35 | Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Italy? | BUY | 0.968 | $22.00 |
| 10-02 13:28 | Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 1 Venezuela? | SELL | 0.999 | $10.51 |
| 10-02 13:08 | Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 1 Türkiye? | BUY | 0.9659999961 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 12:44 | Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02? | SELL | 0.61 | $4.76 |
| 10-02 12:44 | Will Colombia win on 2026-10-02? | SELL | 0.56 | $5.04 |
| 10-02 09:08 | Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 1 Venezuela? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 03:07 | Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 02:58 | Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-10-01? | SELL | 0.46 | $13.80 |
| 10-02 01:44 | Will Colombia win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.57 | $5.13 |
| 10-02 01:42 | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.6 | $9.00 |
| 10-02 01:38 | Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.61 | $18.30 |
| 10-01 21:57 | Exact Score: Grêmio Novorizontino 0 - 1 Goiás EC? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |