PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

axiescu

0x371ef622204a8b90ecb92f4ba7bc490a9e1ac419

Realised P&L
$-17.8k
Volume
$253.8k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$0.00

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration62.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$3.0k
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28? · Yes0.1230.000$0.00$700.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yes0.2320.000$0.00$1000.00
Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election? · Yes0.5950.000$0.00$10.0k
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on March 31? · Yes0.0660.000$0.00$1000.00
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on April 30? · Yes0.2280.000$0.00$1000.00
Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$20.00
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days? · Yes0.2450.000$0.00$1.5k
Will Trump say 'NATO' during the 2025 State of the Union? · Yes0.7620.000$0.00$1000.00
Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on September 22? · Yes0.5180.000$0.00$532.96
Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$20.00
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$500.00
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31? · Yes0.6350.000$0.00$1000.00
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$2.8k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 15:25Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on September 22?BUY0.5203846154$432.96
09-22 10:24Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on September 22?BUY0.5099999984$100.00
09-21 16:03Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on September 21?BUY0.4233226835$500.00
11-10 14:12Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?BUY0.0509952129$10.12
11-09 13:31Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?BUY0.073785676$1.6k
11-09 12:51Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?BUY0.0699999997$200.00
11-09 12:44Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?BUY0.0667143594$800.00
11-09 12:40Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?BUY0.0599999997$200.00
10-18 10:10Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?BUY0.2324088527$1000.00
09-08 07:01Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?BUY0.0082304527$20.00
09-08 07:00Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?BUY0.0137635001$20.00
07-29 05:53Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?BUY0.635562685$1000.00
03-21 19:08Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on April 30?BUY0.22786224$1000.00
03-21 19:08Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on March 31?BUY0.0657340751$1000.00
03-04 18:54Will Trump say 'NATO' during the 2025 State of the Union?BUY0.7619130229$1000.00