0xb84f0056A8A3267d601e6473C0F6e4465980Ad3f-1758789560156
0x371339ee7993abaa449c43542ca38ffa272c5278
- Realised P&L
- $-10.88
- Volume
- $5.7k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $7.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama vs. Mississippi State · Alabama | 0.680 | 0.665 | $6.85 | −$0.15 |
| Stanford vs. Wake Forest · Stanford | 0.200 | 0.175 | $0.88 | −$0.13 |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET · Up | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET · Up | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET · Up | 0.023 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) · Germany | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) · Germany | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) · Türkiye | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.62at 0.235Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$15.76at 0.190Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
- +$7.73at 0.397Spread: France (-1.5)
- +$6.95at 0.597Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?
- +$5.56at 0.590Army vs. Temple
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 10:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | BUY | 0.149999997 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 09:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 09:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.299999994 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 09:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 09:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | BUY | 0.023400936 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 09:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | SELL | 0.77 | $21.38 |
| 10-01 09:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 09:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | SELL | 0.48 | $11.94 |
| 10-01 09:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | BUY | 0.4399999754 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 09:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | BUY | 0.3699999867 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 09:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | SELL | 0.4 | $6.66 |
| 10-01 09:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | BUY | 0.3 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 08:27 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 08:11 | Stanford vs. Wake Forest | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 08:11 | Alabama vs. Mississippi State | BUY | 0.6799999767 | $7.00 |