Brummer
0x370aa6fa242db293e4adbf3f6550f253797cbaac
- Realised P&L
- $-2.46
- Volume
- $26.3k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $8.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$457.38at 0.526Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?
- +$347.46at 0.433Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
- +$283.94at 0.779Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
- +$270.59at 0.787Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
- +$269.47at 0.271Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 23:53 | Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.24596375 | $118.06 |
| 10-04 19:45 | Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.305 | $103.70 |
| 10-04 19:44 | Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1831809017 | $22.71 |
| 10-02 19:33 | Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.2101276056 | $179.03 |
| 10-02 19:30 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $967.08 |
| 09-27 11:09 | Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.74795 | $299.18 |
| 09-27 11:07 | Will DeepSeek IPO by September 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.33 | $33.00 |
| 09-27 11:06 | Will DeepSeek IPO by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.3 | $259.50 |
| 09-20 14:34 | Will DeepSeek IPO by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.218804605 | $144.25 |
| 09-20 14:29 | Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6999999998 | $600.00 |
| 09-20 14:24 | Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.3k |
| 09-20 14:20 | Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.1942699609 | $50.00 |
| 09-13 23:49 | Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.1757656458 | $66.00 |
| 09-13 17:07 | Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.1106452742 | $6.64 |
| 09-13 17:06 | Will DeepSeek IPO by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.2150434483 | $62.36 |