PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Brummer

0x370aa6fa242db293e4adbf3f6550f253797cbaac

Realised P&L
$-2.46
Volume
$26.3k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$8.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.5930.961$2.7k+$1.0k
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6360.955$2.2k+$735.01
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? · No0.7150.755$949.14+$49.96
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1040.654$754.87+$634.87
Will DeepSeek IPO by September 30, 2027? · No0.2570.340$582.86+$142.43
Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2027? · No0.1950.221$340.64+$38.98
Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by March 31, 2027? · No0.3050.795$270.30+$166.60
Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by June 30, 2027? · No0.2330.295$178.18+$37.40
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · Yes0.4400.285$143.15−$77.85
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15? · No0.1890.000$0.00−$18.95
Will Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$79.09
Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO in 2025? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00−$19.80
Will Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election? · No0.2190.000$0.00−$596.58
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00−$200.00
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31? · No0.4340.000$0.00−$696.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 23:53Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by June 30, 2027?BUY0.24596375$118.06
10-04 19:45Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by March 31, 2027?BUY0.305$103.70
10-04 19:44Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by June 30, 2027?BUY0.1831809017$22.71
10-02 19:33Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.2101276056$179.03
10-02 19:30Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?SELL0.999$967.08
09-27 11:09Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?BUY0.74795$299.18
09-27 11:07Will DeepSeek IPO by September 30, 2027?SELL0.33$33.00
09-27 11:06Will DeepSeek IPO by September 30, 2027?BUY0.3$259.50
09-20 14:34Will DeepSeek IPO by September 30, 2027?BUY0.218804605$144.25
09-20 14:29Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6999999998$600.00
09-20 14:24Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?SELL0.998$1.3k
09-20 14:20Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.1942699609$50.00
09-13 23:49Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.1757656458$66.00
09-13 17:07Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.1106452742$6.64
09-13 17:06Will DeepSeek IPO by September 30, 2027?BUY0.2150434483$62.36