PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

PonyY

0x3706eee3e108d9e26c972fbd24c4747ec7ca9462

Realised P&L
$6.7k
Volume
$342.4k
Markets traded
613
Open portfolio
$6.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded613
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · Yes0.9310.979$4.9k+$240.51
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.935$935.00+$5.00
Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%? · Yes0.3490.265$161.65$51.45
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? · Yes0.8700.895$8.95+$0.25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June? · No0.8230.000$0.00$270.29
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$24.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$260.00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? · No0.6200.000$0.00$4.34
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00$1.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$240.00
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$11.00
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22? · Yes0.8400.000$0.00$192.84
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0930.000$0.00$186.00
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026? · Yes0.1040.000$0.00$3.27
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$0.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-26 14:02China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.93$930.00
08-09 04:13Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?BUY0.996$4.7k
08-08 04:49Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August?BUY0.989$2.8k
08-08 04:49Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August?BUY0.987$227.01
08-08 04:48Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?BUY0.987048232$266.86
08-01 07:54Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?BUY0.87$8.70
07-15 01:13Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?BUY0.9$175.50
06-17 14:32Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?BUY0.64$18.29
06-16 00:41Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?BUY0.84$252.00
06-10 08:02Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?BUY0.95$950.00
06-10 08:01Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?BUY0.95$1.9k
06-10 08:00Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?BUY0.88$1.8k
06-10 07:59Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?BUY0.8$160.00
06-10 07:59Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?BUY0.66$425.87
05-22 01:25Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?BUY0.96$4.8k