PonyY
0x3706eee3e108d9e26c972fbd24c4747ec7ca9462
- Realised P&L
- $6.7k
- Volume
- $342.4k
- Markets traded
- 613
- Open portfolio
- $6.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded613
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.161Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$662.77at 0.963Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
- +$643.53at 0.709Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
- +$531.03at 0.615Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
- +$447.79at 0.463Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-26 14:02 | China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $930.00 |
| 08-09 04:13 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August? | BUY | 0.996 | $4.7k |
| 08-08 04:49 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August? | BUY | 0.989 | $2.8k |
| 08-08 04:49 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August? | BUY | 0.987 | $227.01 |
| 08-08 04:48 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August? | BUY | 0.987048232 | $266.86 |
| 08-01 07:54 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | BUY | 0.87 | $8.70 |
| 07-15 01:13 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | BUY | 0.9 | $175.50 |
| 06-17 14:32 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June? | BUY | 0.64 | $18.29 |
| 06-16 00:41 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June? | BUY | 0.84 | $252.00 |
| 06-10 08:02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June? | BUY | 0.95 | $950.00 |
| 06-10 08:01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.9k |
| 06-10 08:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June? | BUY | 0.88 | $1.8k |
| 06-10 07:59 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June? | BUY | 0.8 | $160.00 |
| 06-10 07:59 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? | BUY | 0.66 | $425.87 |
| 05-22 01:25 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.8k |