DavidMartinez-
0x36ffbed6d09ff3b6ed6a6cf1bb90ae7e4e7bf2a6
- Realised P&L
- $-301.94
- Volume
- $48.8k
- Markets traded
- 813
- Open portfolio
- $74.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded813
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 11? · Yes | 0.417 | 1.000 | $32.98 | +$19.23 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 11? · Yes | 0.406 | 0.445 | $21.09 | +$1.84 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 11? · Yes | 0.417 | 0.352 | $11.42 | −$2.11 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 11? · Yes | 0.452 | 0.125 | $5.53 | −$14.47 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 11? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.345 | $2.50 | +$0.11 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on October 11? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.153 | $0.77 | −$0.48 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 11? · Yes | 0.464 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$19.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$68.53at 0.271Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 10?
- +$59.71at 0.248Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 27?
- +$56.27at 0.310Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 16?
- +$55.82at 0.304Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 18?
- +$55.29at 0.285Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 16:40 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 11? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 10-11 15:38 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.4931961415 | $6.14 |
| 10-11 15:38 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 10-11 15:24 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.3693333333 | $5.54 |
| 10-11 10:08 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.38 | $2.66 |
| 10-11 09:58 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.46 | $11.86 |
| 08-19 20:48 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 19? | BUY | 0.4173411327 | $15.70 |
| 08-19 20:47 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 19? | BUY | 0.42 | $4.20 |
| 08-19 20:26 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 19? | BUY | 0.44 | $18.50 |
| 08-18 07:03 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 19? | BUY | 0.42 | $20.00 |
| 08-18 02:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 18? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.50 |
| 08-18 01:30 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 18? | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 08-17 17:10 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on August 18? | BUY | 0.3 | $9.46 |
| 08-17 17:07 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on August 18? | BUY | 0.28 | $0.31 |
| 08-17 17:07 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on August 18? | BUY | 0.44 | $19.80 |