DavidMartinez-
0x36ffbed6d09ff3b6ed6a6cf1bb90ae7e4e7bf2a6
- Realised P&L
- $73.96
- Volume
- $45.4k
- Markets traded
- 741
- Open portfolio
- $105.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded741
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$69.12at 0.264Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 10?
- +$61.36at 0.243Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 27?
- +$56.87at 0.303Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 16?
- +$55.89at 0.262Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 20?
- +$55.88at 0.303Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 04:19 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.88 |
| 08-08 04:19 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.49 | $3.92 |
| 08-08 04:17 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.37 | $5.92 |
| 08-08 04:17 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.48 | $5.67 |
| 08-08 01:25 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.38 | $12.21 |
| 08-08 01:20 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.35 | $4.07 |
| 08-08 01:20 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.40 |
| 08-07 19:53 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.29 | $11.54 |
| 08-07 19:51 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.36 | $14.93 |
| 08-07 19:50 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.28 | $3.94 |
| 08-07 19:50 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.36 | $5.07 |
| 08-07 17:51 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.31 | $14.81 |
| 08-07 17:51 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.42 | $17.95 |
| 08-07 17:50 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 08-07 01:20 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.42 | $14.94 |