Tirza
0x36fb283f736577162d2914d65149803d40d0bc00
- Realised P&L
- $7.18
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $12.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.030 | $6.00 | −$3.05 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET · Down | 0.599 | 1.000 | $4.93 | +$1.98 |
| Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.025 | $1.75 | −$0.35 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 27? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 in December? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.66 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.55 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 19? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.04 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 19? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.45 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 19? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.72 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.11at 0.250Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 12PM ET
- +$2.66at 0.530Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 1AM ET
- +$1.44at 0.390Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 20?
- +$1.20at 0.014Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 27?
- +$1.00at 0.800Bitcoin Up or Down on January 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-20 06:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.59 | $2.86 |
| 01-18 06:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.5299999505 | $3.00 |
| 01-17 06:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 01-16 18:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 12PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $7.99 |
| 01-16 17:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.46 | $3.68 |
| 01-16 06:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 16? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 12-31 21:32 | Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December? | BUY | 0.9499997571 | $3.52 |
| 12-31 21:31 | Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.86 |
| 12-30 18:55 | Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.50 |
| 12-28 06:31 | Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December? | BUY | 0.59 | $6.49 |
| 12-22 14:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 22? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.36 |
| 12-20 10:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 20? | SELL | 0.26 | $1.37 |
| 12-20 07:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 20? | SELL | 0.67 | $3.43 |
| 12-19 17:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 20? | BUY | 0.3899998908 | $2.00 |
| 12-19 17:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 20? | BUY | 0.3799999468 | $2.00 |