PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Tirza

0x36fb283f736577162d2914d65149803d40d0bc00

Realised P&L
$7.18
Volume
$2.8k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$12.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? · Yes0.0450.030$6.00−$3.05
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET · Down0.5991.000$4.93+$1.98
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes0.0300.025$1.75−$0.35
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 27? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$1.20
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 in December? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$0.66
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$2.55
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 19? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$1.04
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 19? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$0.45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 19? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$0.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-20 06:02Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETBUY0.59$2.86
01-18 06:03Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 1AM ETBUY0.5299999505$3.00
01-17 06:29Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 1AM ETBUY0.2399999184$2.00
01-16 18:02Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 12PM ETSELL0.999$7.99
01-16 17:16Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 12PM ETBUY0.46$3.68
01-16 06:47Bitcoin Up or Down on January 16?BUY0.8$4.00
12-31 21:32Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December?BUY0.9499997571$3.52
12-31 21:31Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December?SELL0.05$0.86
12-30 18:55Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December?BUY0.24$1.50
12-28 06:31Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December?BUY0.59$6.49
12-22 14:35Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 22?SELL0.018$0.36
12-20 10:05Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 20?SELL0.26$1.37
12-20 07:54Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 20?SELL0.67$3.43
12-19 17:05Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 20?BUY0.3899998908$2.00
12-19 17:05Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 20?BUY0.3799999468$2.00