Evergreen.
0x36f2233e7ef3ad68c882d61faf9b466e7d0ff402
- Realised P&L
- $-304.88
- Volume
- $7.3k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $501.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · Yes | 0.946 | 0.990 | $501.85 | +$21.85 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET · Down | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET · Down | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will India win? · Yes | 0.798 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$740.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET · Down | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET · Up | 0.426 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET · Up | 0.594 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$247.67at 0.669Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
- +$99.65at 0.740Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
- +$68.18at 0.872Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
- +$67.50at 0.856Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?
- +$58.21at 0.795Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 16:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $25.00 |
| 09-13 16:16 | Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.9580838323 | $100.00 |
| 09-13 16:15 | Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.9517577776 | $100.00 |
| 09-13 16:15 | Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.9415764205 | $80.00 |
| 09-13 16:14 | Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999976 | $100.00 |
| 09-13 16:14 | Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999976 | $100.00 |
| 09-13 15:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | SELL | 0.8521620605 | $90.65 |
| 09-13 15:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | BUY | 0.9399999996 | $100.00 |
| 09-12 03:06 | Will England win? | BUY | 0.9859211263 | $500.00 |
| 09-05 03:03 | Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.8658589353 | $460.00 |
| 08-27 17:16 | Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.8495063737 | $397.94 |
| 08-27 05:10 | Will India win? | BUY | 0.7299999974 | $20.00 |
| 08-26 07:59 | Will India win? | BUY | 0.8 | $500.00 |
| 08-25 18:14 | Will India win? | BUY | 0.8 | $220.00 |
| 08-20 10:39 | Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999989 | $97.80 |