Tjavz69
0x36e8a41ce60310eae5568b9e0c80fd5ba95e28c6
- Realised P&L
- $-167.73
- Volume
- $31.3k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $30.83
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.029 | $19.00 | −$81.00 |
| US x China Military clash before 2027? · Yes | 0.112 | 0.026 | $11.83 | −$38.17 |
| Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Jensen Huang say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during NVIDIA keynote? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| US x Venezuela ceasefire by January 31? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.26at 0.190US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$-2.09at 0.030Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?
- +$-10.00at 0.280Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?
- +$-12.73at 0.240Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by February 28, 2026?
- +$-50.00at 0.080US mobile/internet outages caused by Iran?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-28 13:42 | Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31? | SELL | 0.0174371175 | $2.91 |
| 02-26 12:51 | Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.27 |
| 01-15 02:54 | Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999889 | $13.00 |
| 01-15 02:50 | US x China Military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.1119728858 | $50.00 |
| 01-15 02:50 | US mobile/internet outages caused by Iran? | BUY | 0.08 | $50.00 |
| 01-15 02:46 | Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0530000001 | $6.00 |
| 01-15 02:46 | Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 01-15 02:43 | US x Venezuela ceasefire by January 31? | BUY | 0.0259688374 | $10.00 |
| 01-14 18:46 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $105.26 |
| 01-08 16:11 | Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31? | BUY | 0.0299999943 | $5.00 |
| 01-08 16:10 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 01-08 16:10 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.0163504372 | $5.00 |
| 01-08 16:09 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 01-08 16:08 | Will Jensen Huang say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during NVIDIA keynote? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 01-07 22:24 | Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | BUY | 0.2799999854 | $10.00 |