Y5150
0x36e87fe3942c47a9cf014c63b9f5ac9322912070
- Realised P&L
- $258.70
- Volume
- $34.2k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $9.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? · Yes | 0.718 | 0.575 | $5.4k | −$1.3k |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará? · Yes | 0.866 | 0.865 | $4.0k | −$6.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$258.70at 0.860Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 03:38 | Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? | BUY | 0.6868982162 | $196.96 |
| 10-10 01:16 | Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará? | BUY | 0.8535128747 | $200.00 |
| 10-10 01:16 | Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? | BUY | 0.819999999 | $100.00 |
| 10-10 01:04 | Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? | BUY | 0.7360925606 | $145.05 |
| 10-10 01:04 | Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? | BUY | 0.6884047417 | $150.00 |
| 10-09 23:50 | Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? | BUY | 0.8295887361 | $1.2k |
| 10-09 23:41 | Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? | BUY | 0.8299999999 | $342.57 |
| 10-09 23:40 | Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? | BUY | 0.7233468111 | $300.00 |
| 10-09 23:39 | Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? | BUY | 0.7469522772 | $3.0k |
| 10-09 23:38 | Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? | BUY | 0.5731074134 | $1.3k |
| 10-09 23:35 | Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará? | BUY | 0.9336325327 | $1000.00 |
| 10-09 23:35 | Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará? | BUY | 0.8899068567 | $1.3k |
| 10-09 23:34 | Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará? | BUY | 0.8099999999 | $1.5k |
| 10-09 23:33 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.89 | $8.9k |
| 10-09 23:20 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8899999999 | $631.50 |