0x36e64326fa7105edf8cd39bd9ea119314a60abc0
- Realised P&L
- $-24.38
- Volume
- $874.74
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $5.44
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No | 0.818 | 1.000 | $2.44 | +$0.44 |
| Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.017 | $2.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.004 | $0.90 | −$1.10 |
| Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be at least 45%? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.004 | $0.06 | −$0.94 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No | 0.862 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No | 0.850 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.39at 0.100Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-0.72at 0.172San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5
- +$-2.06at 0.144Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?
- +$-2.09at 0.013Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
- +$-2.11at 0.014Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-17 16:29 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.109 | $7.87 |
| 06-17 02:35 | San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.052918197 | $0.32 |
| 06-17 02:25 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.0131854057 | $2.00 |
| 06-17 02:24 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? | BUY | 0.0120000001 | $2.00 |
| 06-17 02:22 | San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.1666945049 | $1.00 |
| 06-16 20:02 | Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be at least 45%? | BUY | 0.0629999444 | $1.00 |
| 06-16 19:50 | Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 06-16 19:49 | Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0161904683 | $2.00 |
| 06-16 18:51 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8179997759 | $2.00 |
| 06-16 15:43 | Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.1399999426 | $2.00 |
| 06-16 15:42 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8619999832 | $4.00 |
| 06-16 15:39 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8499999717 | $3.00 |
| 06-16 13:59 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0969999881 | $7.00 |
| 06-16 13:56 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30? | BUY | 0.1739999724 | $5.00 |
| 06-16 03:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? | BUY | 0.7099998694 | $5.00 |