0x36e5812f9ce00bf693938986cb18513352a391c2
0x36e5812f9ce00bf693938986cb18513352a391c2
- Realised P&L
- $-0.39
- Volume
- $36.57
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $5.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Johnson out as Speaker by October 31? · No | 0.890 | 0.925 | $5.20 | +$0.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.04at 0.980Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
- +$-0.12at 0.962NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
- +$-0.22at 0.816Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 22:49 | Mike Johnson out as Speaker by October 31? | BUY | 0.8899999858 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 22:41 | Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.972 | $4.96 |
| 09-27 01:45 | Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 01:28 | Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.78 | $4.04 |
| 09-27 01:27 | Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.8099998727 | $4.20 |
| 09-26 23:40 | NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.938 | $4.87 |
| 09-26 19:23 | NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.962 | $5.00 |