nbasupertrader
0x36d9d683028d0b284e3a6fd9f1f7a81bd340bba1
- Realised P&L
- $-30.55
- Volume
- $14.2k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $171.56
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration41.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.945 | $151.20 | −$0.80 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.415 | $20.36 | −$0.25 |
| Rockets vs. Bulls · Rockets | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$648.05 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.50 |
| Knicks vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$204.00 |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons · Pistons | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.2k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$875.79at 0.12376ers vs. Celtics
- +$356.14at 0.72676ers vs. Knicks
- +$289.96at 0.710Hawks vs. Knicks
- +$220.00at 0.780Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
- +$164.99at 0.746Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:55 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.95 | $152.00 |
| 07-07 15:39 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.74 | $480.26 |
| 06-05 18:28 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.68 | $204.00 |
| 05-30 08:59 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | BUY | 0.83 | $415.00 |
| 05-12 20:56 | Cavaliers vs. Pistons | BUY | 0.62 | $1.2k |
| 05-08 13:41 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $910.00 |
| 05-04 20:21 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.045 | $13.50 |
| 05-03 18:22 | 76ers vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.72 | $936.00 |
| 04-20 14:35 | 76ers vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.12 | $2.96 |
| 04-20 14:32 | 76ers vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.12 | $113.66 |
| 03-28 17:02 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $138.00 |
| 03-21 14:15 | Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans | SELL | 0.35 | $700.00 |