PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

SiriusGuyy44

0x36d89de169f6c086e7112eb409acef6e1d8636fe

Realised P&L
$-2.1k
Volume
$372.4k
Markets traded
2,084
Open portfolio
$2.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,084
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration89.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0180.002$2.36$26.50
Will Dogecoin reach $0.44 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.044$0.29$0.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6PM ET · Up0.2200.000$0.00$1.32
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$214.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET · Up0.2300.000$0.00$1.61
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5PM ET · Up0.6800.000$0.00$4.08
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET · Up0.3470.000$0.00$3.45
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET · Down0.3350.000$0.00$2.34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 30? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$1.45
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET · Up0.3500.000$0.00$1.75
Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by March 15? · No0.1700.000$0.00$1.70
XRP Up or Down - February 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET · Up0.2950.000$0.00$2.94
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on February 6? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$0.15
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET · Up0.4280.000$0.00$11.85
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET · Down0.4680.000$0.00$4.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-14 04:36Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12AM ETBUY0.02$1.30
05-14 04:35Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12AM ETBUY0.0196$0.49
05-14 04:33Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12AM ETBUY0.0176768$0.88
05-14 04:31Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12AM ETBUY0.027$0.14
05-14 03:53Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11PM ETBUY0.002$1.00
05-14 03:50Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11PM ETBUY0.01$0.30
05-14 03:48Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETBUY0.04$1.60
05-14 03:47Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11PM ETSELL0.98$5.88
05-14 03:29Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11PM ETBUY0.56$4.48
05-14 03:27Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETBUY0.03$1.80
05-14 03:25Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETBUY0.144075$2.88
05-14 03:24Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETBUY0.46$2.30
05-14 03:23Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETBUY0.46$4.60
05-14 01:49Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
05-14 01:47Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETBUY0.55$2.75