SiriusGuyy44
0x36d89de169f6c086e7112eb409acef6e1d8636fe
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $372.4k
- Markets traded
- 2,084
- Open portfolio
- $2.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,084
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$522.95at 0.083Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
- +$177.69at 0.435XRP Up or Down - February 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
- +$163.69at 0.189Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12AM ET
- +$141.36at 0.243Ethereum Up or Down - February 15, 10PM ET
- +$136.00at 0.211US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 04:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.30 |
| 05-14 04:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.0196 | $0.49 |
| 05-14 04:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.0176768 | $0.88 |
| 05-14 04:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.027 | $0.14 |
| 05-14 03:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 05-14 03:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $0.30 |
| 05-14 03:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $1.60 |
| 05-14 03:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11PM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $5.88 |
| 05-14 03:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.56 | $4.48 |
| 05-14 03:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | BUY | 0.03 | $1.80 |
| 05-14 03:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | BUY | 0.144075 | $2.88 |
| 05-14 03:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 05-14 03:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | BUY | 0.46 | $4.60 |
| 05-14 01:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 05-14 01:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |