higginscrystal
0x36d7130a82b09a2994913d05b9a9a79e714a02eb
- Realised P&L
- $18.71
- Volume
- $11.0k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $24.74
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on October 17? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.660 | $16.38 | +$1.49 |
| Will Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.557 | $8.36 | −$2.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.06at 0.290Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$21.84at 0.530Texas Rangers vs. Minnesota Twins
- +$13.41at 0.600TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
- +$2.51at 0.675Liverpool wins the Premier League?
- +$0.59at 0.962Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 14:04 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.25 |
| 01-31 14:02 | Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.86 |
| 01-30 15:37 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.68 |
| 01-30 13:17 | Will Solana dip to $80 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.37 |
| 01-30 12:21 | Will Chainlink hit $15 in January? | BUY | 0.997 | $54.64 |
| 12-30 13:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.06 |
| 12-30 10:12 | Will Trump pardon Do Kwon in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.38 |
| 12-30 00:42 | Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.93 |
| 12-29 22:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999998 | $16.98 |
| 12-29 21:35 | Will Trump pardon Himself in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $39.07 |
| 10-31 15:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October? | BUY | 0.9989999647 | $17.37 |
| 10-31 14:56 | Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.42 |
| 10-30 18:49 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.78 |
| 09-29 15:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September? | BUY | 0.9989999516 | $16.20 |
| 09-29 09:24 | Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.06 |