gtgg
0x36d08c2b9358f1a2a0e5cba7dbcea41010fc79d9
- Realised P&L
- $-0.11
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $0.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration88.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Civic Platform (GP) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.07 | −$0.07 |
| Will David Schweikert win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$614.54at 0.001Will Richard Kilpatrick win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
- +$74.80at 0.750Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 24?
- +$0.80at 0.640Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
- +$0.40at 0.999Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$0.40at 0.999Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-30 23:28 | Will Civic Platform (GP) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 08-30 23:27 | Will Civic Platform (GP) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 08-30 23:26 | Will Civic Platform (GP) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.33 |
| 07-17 10:42 | Will David Schweikert win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.08 |
| 06-26 12:55 | Will Richard Kilpatrick win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.62 |
| 05-02 17:27 | Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | SELL | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 05-02 17:27 | Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 04-24 00:15 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 24? | SELL | 0.998 | $149.68 |
| 04-24 00:14 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $149.83 |
| 03-21 09:26 | Will LMP – Hungary’s Green Party (LMP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 02-18 15:40 | Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.69 | $4.83 |
| 12-26 09:23 | Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $399.39 |
| 12-12 02:48 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $399.00 |
| 12-05 01:49 | Will Trump say "Hell" 4+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |