Philippe1313
0x36c6e3efbd7bd9edc7bd4b8df8621f529695bb20
- Realised P&L
- $-11.07
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 169
- Open portfolio
- $19.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded169
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.71at 0.487Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
- +$12.91at 0.436Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
- +$12.67at 0.448Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 16?
- +$10.15at 0.502Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 14?
- +$9.85at 0.510Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on October 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 08:19 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on October 17? | BUY | 0.3462192803 | $10.00 |
| 10-17 08:19 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 17? | BUY | 0.3413551801 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 06:36 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 16? | BUY | 0.435643554 | $10.00 |
| 10-15 15:38 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on October 15? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 15:38 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 15? | BUY | 0.3465346397 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 15:36 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 15? | BUY | 0.699999965 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 20:15 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 15? | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 17:05 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on October 14? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.72 |
| 10-14 14:34 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on October 14? | BUY | 0.5148514831 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 10:32 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 14? | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 09:06 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on October 14? | BUY | 0.4975124378 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 14:29 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 13? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $10.00 |
| 10-12 10:22 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 20:16 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.6277579989 | $14.00 |
| 10-11 09:52 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 11? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |