0x36bdbc1fd6d4fb2342169eecacfcbabd95b84a0c
0x36bdbc1fd6d4fb2342169eecacfcbabd95b84a0c
- Realised P&L
- $5.63
- Volume
- $221.68
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $3.79
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.770 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.815 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.465 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on November 2? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.200 | $0.67 | −$0.33 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.91at 0.237Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?
- +$3.76at 0.288Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $188 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$3.51at 0.227Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?
- +$2.71at 0.359Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during September Press Conference?
- +$2.54at 0.288Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 02:54 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on November 2? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 18:28 | Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 05:39 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 05:21 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899996964 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 13:00 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of October 26 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 04:56 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 20:55 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2689999362 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 12:54 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 04:35 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 08:33 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 00:11 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899997404 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 16:10 | US Gov confirms PHP2Shell exploited by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 04:53 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 20:20 | Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 12:15 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |