Asperatus
0x36a7e80b487b26eebce266da0640e33dd4651aea
- Realised P&L
- $2.0k
- Volume
- $17.28M
- Markets traded
- 735
- Open portfolio
- $4.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded735
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$497.61at 0.583Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?
- +$335.89at 0.007Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$318.53at 0.001Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$309.63at 0.027Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$294.41at 0.731Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 14:43 | Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.005 | $18.41 |
| 08-02 12:52 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.01 | $2.70 |
| 07-29 10:42 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.004 | $3.54 |
| 07-25 21:10 | Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.002 | $60.00 |
| 07-25 18:44 | Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.006 | $1.20 |
| 07-25 18:44 | Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.008 | $1.60 |
| 07-25 18:43 | Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.008 | $1.60 |
| 07-25 18:43 | Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.008 | $1.60 |
| 07-25 18:43 | Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.008 | $1.60 |
| 07-25 18:43 | Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.008 | $1.60 |
| 07-25 18:43 | Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.009 | $1.80 |
| 07-25 18:43 | Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.009 | $1.80 |
| 07-25 18:43 | Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.009 | $1.80 |
| 07-25 18:42 | Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.011 | $2.20 |
| 07-25 18:42 | Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.011 | $2.20 |