PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Asperatus

0x36a7e80b487b26eebce266da0640e33dd4651aea

Realised P&L
$2.0k
Volume
$17.28M
Markets traded
735
Open portfolio
$4.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded735
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0020.002$446.64$217.66
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0040.002$360.00$566.88
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0040.002$225.00$388.50
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0070.005$220.00$44.48
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0020.002$210.00$70.00
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0020.002$187.73$62.58
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.004$175.00$194.95
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0050.003$175.00$160.65
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0050.003$145.76$164.01
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0080.006$135.35$33.48
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0040.003$125.00$104.95
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0060.004$112.72$73.43
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0050.004$101.87$60.57
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0040.003$100.00$60.00
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0080.006$97.50$22.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 14:43Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.005$18.41
08-02 12:52Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.01$2.70
07-29 10:42Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.004$3.54
07-25 21:10Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.002$60.00
07-25 18:44Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.006$1.20
07-25 18:44Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.008$1.60
07-25 18:43Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.008$1.60
07-25 18:43Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.008$1.60
07-25 18:43Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.008$1.60
07-25 18:43Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.008$1.60
07-25 18:43Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.009$1.80
07-25 18:43Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.009$1.80
07-25 18:43Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.009$1.80
07-25 18:42Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.011$2.20
07-25 18:42Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.011$2.20