sdfadsf234
0x3693ffa9aa7d158826464608f6c83ad09741d79e
- Realised P&L
- $102.8k
- Volume
- $2.48M
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $11.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)29.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.268 | 0.105 | $11.8k | −$18.2k |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.062 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$594.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$135.7kat 0.142Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$38.2kat 0.444Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5
- +$32.8kat 0.483Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?
- +$29.8kat 0.505Spread: Spain (-2.5)
- +$21.3kat 0.402Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 16:24 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.3078068691 | $1.6k |
| 10-24 17:31 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1919923587 | $1000.00 |
| 10-19 18:31 | Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.39 | $13.9k |
| 09-03 15:57 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.267667193 | $30.0k |
| 07-13 16:04 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1752461942 | $13.0k |
| 07-13 16:04 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1705507304 | $7.0k |
| 07-11 17:31 | Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | BUY | 0.1891214474 | $500.00 |
| 07-07 17:34 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1993821338 | $27.0k |
| 07-06 17:12 | Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $25.4k |
| 06-26 19:01 | Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4859344174 | $26.5k |
| 06-26 19:01 | Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $124.52 |
| 06-26 19:00 | Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $3.4k |
| 06-25 18:58 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0564215094 | $9.4k |
| 06-23 19:32 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.139 | $22.0k |
| 06-19 13:20 | Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.004 | $650.00 |