0x36931635e654856bb648ff4e6d2d7b460df4fb2b
0x36931635e654856bb648ff4e6d2d7b460df4fb2b
- Realised P&L
- $-1.69
- Volume
- $271.36
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $5.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.945 | $2.74 | +$0.74 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No | 0.780 | 0.992 | $2.01 | +$0.43 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.230 | $0.92 | −$1.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.18at 0.331Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
- +$3.82at 0.351Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
- +$3.08at 0.400Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$3.00at 0.400US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$2.94at 0.412Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 00:54 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999345 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 16:54 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 08:50 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 18:52 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $184 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 10:47 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7499999063 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 01:40 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.299999985 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 14:16 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 17:53 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.299999985 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 08:57 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.6899999345 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 23:54 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 15:17 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 22:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.3899998908 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 13:55 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 08-30 11:51 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 08-30 03:23 | Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.3899998908 | $2.00 |