PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

mlferker

0x3691faca24fc2f902224f3915b855c3964b4decd

Realised P&L
$26.84
Volume
$158.5k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$658.08

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0000.017$116.33+$116.33
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0000.011$81.08+$81.08
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.003$50.84−$92.99
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0000.004$43.93+$43.93
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0070.005$38.78−$13.60
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0000.003$31.38+$31.38
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0000.002$30.51+$30.51
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0000.002$30.51+$30.51
Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.002$30.51−$113.32
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0000.002$30.51+$30.51
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0000.002$30.51+$30.51
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0000.002$18.83+$18.83
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0000.002$18.83+$18.83
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0000.002$18.83+$18.83
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0000.001$10.17+$10.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-20 14:56Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.0100604702$204.61
07-20 14:54Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.001$3.62
07-20 14:54Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.001$7.05
07-20 14:53Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.004$14.47
07-20 14:53Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.0059127675$21.40
07-20 14:53Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.0070116071$25.37
07-20 14:53Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.004$28.20
07-20 14:53Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.004$28.20
07-20 14:53Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.003$37.65
07-20 14:52Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.006$42.30
07-20 14:52Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.003$61.01
07-20 14:52Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.006$75.31
07-20 14:52Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.0120145226$43.47
07-20 14:52Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.005$62.76
07-20 14:52Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.004$50.21