natryaske
0x3690fed6c821c3db1cf386c60aecd8e1cb3b41bb
- Realised P&L
- $74.54
- Volume
- $105.7k
- Markets traded
- 117
- Open portfolio
- $19.38
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded117
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration94.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10? · No | 0.995 | 1.000 | $7.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Solana reach $110 in April? · No | 0.993 | 1.000 | $6.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will XRP reach $1.80 April 27-May 3? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $3.56 | +$0.00 |
| Probable FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No | 0.988 | 0.901 | $2.74 | −$0.26 |
| Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31? · No | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $460b and $470b on October 31? · No | 0.980 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.43 |
| Will Ukraine recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by October 31? · No | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.14 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? · No | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.00 |
| Successful Houthi attack on shipping by September 30? · No | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$147.88at 0.490Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?
- +$1.26at 0.760US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$1.08at 0.822Will a candidate from another party win Nebraska US Senate Election?
- +$1.02at 0.800Trump x Elon talk before August?
- +$0.77at 0.890Obama or Biden tweets about Ukraine by Friday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 09:33 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10? | BUY | 0.995 | $7.00 |
| 04-28 18:53 | Will XRP reach $1.80 April 27-May 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.56 |
| 04-28 18:53 | Will Solana reach $110 in April? | BUY | 0.9929999992 | $6.00 |
| 03-04 19:37 | US/Israel strike Yemen by March 3? | BUY | 0.9779999977 | $5.00 |
| 03-04 19:37 | Will Solana reach $150 in March? | BUY | 0.9809999828 | $4.00 |
| 03-04 19:36 | Probable FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9879999974 | $3.00 |
| 02-05 19:26 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.9929999988 | $5.00 |
| 02-05 19:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 February 2-8? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.00 |
| 02-05 19:25 | Will Solana reach $200 in February? | BUY | 0.9939998171 | $5.00 |
| 01-21 13:58 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999924 | $4.00 |
| 11-22 17:32 | Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.95 | $7.71 |
| 11-22 17:26 | Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5799999973 | $70.00 |
| 11-06 17:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November? | BUY | 0.9929998453 | $6.00 |
| 11-06 17:23 | Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025? | SELL | 0.975 | $104.89 |
| 11-05 19:21 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025? | BUY | 0.99 | $7.00 |