0x368ea48c3c10eff2430f15ef51c5c1c4038984e1
0x368ea48c3c10eff2430f15ef51c5c1c4038984e1
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $50.0k
- Markets traded
- 707
- Open portfolio
- $199.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded707
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No | 0.641 | 0.405 | $132.66 | −$77.35 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.715 | $40.21 | −$0.28 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.406 | 0.542 | $26.72 | +$6.72 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.085 | $0.32 | −$1.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$231.85at 0.751Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
- +$153.91at 0.670Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?
- +$136.35at 0.546Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
- +$117.71at 0.598Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$106.99at 0.800France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 01:14 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.7199999964 | $40.49 |
| 09-28 01:13 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.23 | $3.13 |
| 09-26 14:50 | Will Matthew Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Open de France? | BUY | 0.779999999 | $29.99 |
| 09-21 08:19 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.2199999941 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 15:37 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 15:36 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 13:12 | Will Newcastle United FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 13:12 | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 13:12 | Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 09-14 13:11 | Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $6.00 |
| 09-14 13:11 | Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 13:11 | Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 13:11 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 13:11 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 13:10 | Will Everton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |