0x368e68d43af45e4bf45fa2e94f4b86ee9525f087
0x368e68d43af45e4bf45fa2e94f4b86ee9525f087
- Realised P&L
- $24.64
- Volume
- $358.97
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $26.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 12? · No | 0.911 | 0.969 | $21.24 | +$1.27 |
| Bills vs. Rams · Rams | 0.620 | 0.615 | $4.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 6? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.19at 0.713Lions vs. Cardinals
- +$5.00at 0.773Bengals vs. Dolphins
- +$3.93at 0.568Valencia vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv
- +$3.05at 0.740Basquet Manresa vs. Ulm Basketball
- +$1.94at 0.717Will Italy win on 2026-10-05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 06:16 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 17? | SELL | 0.95 | $0.47 |
| 10-12 05:39 | Bills vs. Rams | BUY | 0.62 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 05:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.94 | $19.99 |
| 10-12 05:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.911 | $19.97 |
| 10-11 20:11 | Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs BORRACHEIROS (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs | BUY | 0.75 | $3.00 |
| 10-11 20:10 | Overwatch: Dallas Fuel vs Disguised (BO5) - OCS North America Stage 3 Group Stage | BUY | 0.9 | $20.00 |
| 10-11 20:07 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 17? | BUY | 0.96 | $0.48 |
| 10-11 20:05 | Lions vs. Cardinals | BUY | 0.7 | $20.00 |
| 10-11 20:04 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | SELL | 0.999 | $13.08 |
| 10-11 20:04 | Bengals vs. Dolphins | SELL | 0.998 | $23.20 |
| 10-11 18:02 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | BUY | 0.84 | $11.00 |
| 10-11 07:29 | Bengals vs. Dolphins | BUY | 0.76 | $17.67 |
| 10-08 06:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.93 | $19.17 |
| 10-07 19:15 | Basquet Manresa vs. Ulm Basketball | SELL | 0.86 | $24.97 |
| 10-07 19:14 | Valencia vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |