Sunnydays
0x368061bc161a471af8c753426c9f987d2a1bf087
- Realised P&L
- $4.8k
- Volume
- $761.9k
- Markets traded
- 2,518
- Open portfolio
- $114.49
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,518
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 9? · Yes | 0.990 | 1.000 | $114.49 | +$1.09 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 2? · Yes | 0.573 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$254.51at 0.025Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on March 22?
- +$226.72at 0.207Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on May 1?
- +$189.76at 0.050Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on April 15?
- +$170.09at 0.432Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on March 26?
- +$165.91at 0.152Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 06:45 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.99 | $113.40 |
| 08-08 07:44 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.96 | $38.40 |
| 08-02 05:20 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C or below on August 2? | BUY | 0.9891036506 | $242.77 |
| 08-02 05:17 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.99 | $126.63 |
| 08-02 05:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.6 | $2.55 |
| 08-02 05:08 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.98 | $16.97 |
| 08-02 04:50 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.98 | $7.84 |
| 08-02 04:50 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.98 | $22.06 |
| 08-02 04:47 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.99 | $24.65 |
| 08-02 04:47 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.14 |
| 08-02 04:44 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.99 | $198.10 |
| 08-02 04:43 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.95 | $95.24 |
| 08-02 04:42 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.9692011982 | $97.07 |
| 08-02 04:41 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.9890097703 | $149.82 |
| 07-31 11:29 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 31? | BUY | 0.9895380636 | $107.11 |