0x367e5f90f107a20a0c06404f98e6f7038836c81f
0x367e5f90f107a20a0c06404f98e6f7038836c81f
- Realised P&L
- $-2.97
- Volume
- $310.46
- Markets traded
- 99
- Open portfolio
- $5.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded99
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026? · No | 0.689 | 0.938 | $1.36 | +$0.36 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25? · No | 0.300 | 0.385 | $1.28 | +$0.28 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 22? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.745 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 24? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.625 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.615 | $0.87 | −$0.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.44at 0.218Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?
- +$4.01at 0.339Will Claude go down 8-10 times in August?
- +$3.07at 0.402Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
- +$2.54at 0.290Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?
- +$2.14at 0.351Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 12:27 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 24? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 03:58 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 22? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 07:58 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 07:57 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 11:48 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 21:55 | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.6889999097 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 13:15 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 16? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 05:15 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 16? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 21:13 | Will there be exactly 3 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 12? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 12:50 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 04:50 | Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 20:49 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $210 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 00:22 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 16:22 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 08:22 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $690 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |