caine1
0x367a880bdc4387d687e720ce88432fbbab00e5bf
- Realised P&L
- $31.38
- Volume
- $248.8k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $102.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$99.29at 0.036Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?
- +$93.70at 0.063Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2700 on June 10?
- +$75.58at 0.280Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?
- +$56.70at 0.460Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?
- +$11.14at 0.350Phoenix Biel vs. Iron Brit
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-04 17:13 | Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $49.20 |
| 02-04 17:13 | Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $44.55 |
| 06-25 08:42 | Will Canada join US as 51st state in 2025? | BUY | 0.9739994331 | $1.11 |
| 06-25 08:41 | Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship? | BUY | 0.46 | $48.30 |
| 06-25 08:40 | Will Red Bull Racing finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship? | BUY | 0.13 | $13.65 |
| 06-25 08:40 | Will Ferrari finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship? | BUY | 0.36 | $37.80 |
| 06-25 08:39 | F1 season canceled or other team wins? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 06-25 08:39 | Will Haas finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.21 |
| 06-25 08:39 | Will Sauber finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.21 |
| 06-25 08:39 | Will Williams finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.21 |
| 06-25 08:39 | Will Alpine finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.21 |
| 06-25 08:39 | Will Racing Bulls finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.32 |
| 06-25 08:38 | Will Aston Martin finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.53 |
| 06-25 08:38 | Will McLaren finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship? | BUY | 0.023323619 | $2.45 |
| 06-09 12:48 | Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2700 on June 10? | BUY | 0.063 | $6.30 |