PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

F0ulplay

0x3674e608d62cf750d3aec0f39d589b4d15922fc6

Realised P&L
$-2.6k
Volume
$362.7k
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)41.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0310.051$902.95+$350.90
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1200.055$275.06$327.93
Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes0.0640.000$0.00$145.38
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$97.94
Will Flavio Cobolli be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$207.61
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$43.75
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's French Open? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$14.44
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$119.97
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$87.50
Will UK strike Iran by April 30? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00$39.46
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$100.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00$70.00
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$99.27
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$100.00
Trump out as President by April 30? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$173.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-30 11:28Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.033$95.73
08-30 11:27Trump out as President before 2027?SELL0.06$100.02
08-15 13:33Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.0599999997$172.00
08-15 13:32Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?SELL0.24$178.06
07-30 16:10Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.46$46.00
07-29 17:30Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.0106111111$88.56
07-27 15:50Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.011$44.00
07-12 02:19Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.0374999996$100.00
07-09 21:33Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0029999999$40.00
07-09 11:11Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0299999997$100.00
07-09 05:43Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.025$87.50
07-07 19:14Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.009$6.20
07-07 19:10Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.009$93.08
07-07 16:20Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.003$120.00
07-07 02:57Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.08$228.57