0x36673cc80b5226f71de26824e17c1a1107be3cb0
- Realised P&L
- $95.41
- Volume
- $7.8k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $58.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$125.67at 0.051Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$15.20at 0.122Will there be 5-7 inches of snow in D.C. this weekend?
- +$13.89at 0.260Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?
- +$7.79at 0.129Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$6.98at 0.410Will New England Revolution win on 2026-05-16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 00:50 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.1399999844 | $6.63 |
| 07-04 19:18 | Will Joey Chestnut Eat 69 or more Hotdogs at Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest 2026? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.23 |
| 07-04 13:52 | Will Joey Chestnut Eat 69 or more Hotdogs at Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest 2026? | BUY | 0.5099999767 | $10.52 |
| 06-23 16:30 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.135 | $11.06 |
| 06-11 12:14 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.97 |
| 06-11 12:13 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0179999946 | $3.32 |
| 06-11 12:13 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0529999867 | $3.96 |
| 06-11 12:12 | Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.219999971 | $5.16 |
| 06-06 11:11 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.786 | $134.39 |
| 05-17 12:48 | Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.0172854476 | $1.98 |
| 05-17 12:48 | Will Chicago Fire FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.016999992 | $2.11 |
| 05-17 02:10 | Will New England Revolution win on 2026-05-16? | SELL | 0.999 | $11.84 |
| 05-16 18:53 | Will New England Revolution win on 2026-05-16? | BUY | 0.4099999688 | $4.86 |
| 05-16 18:50 | Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship? | BUY | 0.07 | $4.90 |
| 05-16 18:49 | Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 PGA Championship? | BUY | 0.0339999894 | $3.05 |