PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x36673cc80b5226f71de26824e17c1a1107be3cb0

Realised P&L
$95.41
Volume
$7.8k
Markets traded
40
Open portfolio
$58.96

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded40
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration69.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will New England Revolution win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes0.0060.015$30.59+$17.17
Will Chicago Fire FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes0.0160.058$15.29+$10.91
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0220.022$3.90+$0.09
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0200.025$3.21+$0.68
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes0.0170.017$1.89$0.09
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0190.021$1.77+$0.13
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0180.007$0.95$1.34
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.004$0.64$1.00
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes0.0320.008$0.47$1.41
Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0130.001$0.13$3.30
Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0070.001$0.11$1.37
Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 PGA Championship? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$2.14
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes0.0670.000$0.00$1.99
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$6.63
Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 PGA Championship? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$3.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-09 00:50Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.1399999844$6.63
07-04 19:18Will Joey Chestnut Eat 69 or more Hotdogs at Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest 2026?SELL0.011$0.23
07-04 13:52Will Joey Chestnut Eat 69 or more Hotdogs at Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest 2026?BUY0.5099999767$10.52
06-23 16:30Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?SELL0.135$11.06
06-11 12:14Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.016$1.97
06-11 12:13Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0179999946$3.32
06-11 12:13Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0529999867$3.96
06-11 12:12Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.219999971$5.16
06-06 11:11Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.786$134.39
05-17 12:48Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?BUY0.0172854476$1.98
05-17 12:48Will Chicago Fire FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?BUY0.016999992$2.11
05-17 02:10Will New England Revolution win on 2026-05-16?SELL0.999$11.84
05-16 18:53Will New England Revolution win on 2026-05-16?BUY0.4099999688$4.86
05-16 18:50Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?BUY0.07$4.90
05-16 18:49Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 PGA Championship?BUY0.0339999894$3.05