PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Mistercnt

0x365c726cab629fc18536a5a6aca9a9c3fec1f855

Realised P&L
$250.07
Volume
$24.6k
Markets traded
52
Open portfolio
$164.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded52
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · No0.8960.918$151.48+$3.63
Will Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes0.0750.130$13.51+$5.69
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0880.000$0.00$34.30
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar? · Yes0.0880.000$0.00$17.68
Ebola case in the US by June 30? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$64.47

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-20 15:02Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?BUY0.047$4.70
06-20 15:01Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?BUY0.046$4.60
06-19 06:31Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?BUY0.898$80.82
06-19 06:30Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?BUY0.894$44.70
06-19 06:29Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?BUY0.893$22.32
06-18 07:33Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?BUY0.1329999803$5.00
06-18 07:31Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?BUY0.1324701143$20.00
06-17 11:27Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?BUY0.08842025$17.68
06-17 11:21Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?SELL0.9062291146$18.12
06-17 11:20Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?SELL0.932$44.74
06-17 11:19Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?SELL0.936$20.59
06-17 11:19Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?SELL0.937$9.37
06-13 11:30Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?SELL0.927$149.78
05-29 08:28Ebola case in the US by June 30?BUY0.3299999796$8.09
05-29 08:27Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.063$8.37