Mistercnt
0x365c726cab629fc18536a5a6aca9a9c3fec1f855
- Realised P&L
- $250.07
- Volume
- $24.6k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $164.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · No | 0.896 | 0.918 | $151.48 | +$3.63 |
| Will Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes | 0.075 | 0.130 | $13.51 | +$5.69 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.088 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$34.30 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar? · Yes | 0.088 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.68 |
| Ebola case in the US by June 30? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$64.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$215.80at 0.338Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
- +$187.64at 0.339Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
- +$16.14at 0.110Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
- +$15.48at 0.161Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
- +$12.41at 0.287Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-20 15:02 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.047 | $4.70 |
| 06-20 15:01 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.046 | $4.60 |
| 06-19 06:31 | Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.898 | $80.82 |
| 06-19 06:30 | Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.894 | $44.70 |
| 06-19 06:29 | Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.893 | $22.32 |
| 06-18 07:33 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1329999803 | $5.00 |
| 06-18 07:31 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1324701143 | $20.00 |
| 06-17 11:27 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar? | BUY | 0.08842025 | $17.68 |
| 06-17 11:21 | Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | SELL | 0.9062291146 | $18.12 |
| 06-17 11:20 | Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | SELL | 0.932 | $44.74 |
| 06-17 11:19 | Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | SELL | 0.936 | $20.59 |
| 06-17 11:19 | Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | SELL | 0.937 | $9.37 |
| 06-13 11:30 | Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | SELL | 0.927 | $149.78 |
| 05-29 08:28 | Ebola case in the US by June 30? | BUY | 0.3299999796 | $8.09 |
| 05-29 08:27 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.063 | $8.37 |