definitelyasuit
0x365724e6ea70e0a7cfb2bf142d2f175899cc2665
- Realised P&L
- $-6.0k
- Volume
- $159.9k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $9.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? · Yes | 0.243 | 0.070 | $9.90 | −$24.31 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.1k |
| Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes | 0.066 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$990.00 |
| Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 50.5 · Over | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-08? · Yes | 0.576 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$964.22at 0.500Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
- +$667.22at 0.740Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?
- +$526.49at 0.487Iowa vs. Vanderbilt: O/U 46.5
- +$519.67at 0.670Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
- +$270.37at 0.270Will Southampton FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-12 14:46 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SELL | 0.26 | $670.80 |
| 01-07 22:37 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.35 | $903.00 |
| 01-07 22:04 | Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? | BUY | 0.2435599858 | $34.21 |
| 01-05 14:11 | Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.066 | $990.00 |
| 01-03 07:54 | Maduro out by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4998844917 | $963.78 |
| 01-01 16:57 | Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 50.5 | BUY | 0.5199999998 | $1000.00 |
| 01-01 14:58 | Will Southampton FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999983 | $100.00 |
| 12-31 10:22 | Iowa vs. Vanderbilt: O/U 46.5 | BUY | 0.4870982581 | $500.00 |
| 11-08 15:52 | Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-08? | BUY | 0.5761983583 | $1000.00 |
| 10-30 12:07 | Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | BUY | 0.7499999987 | $445.19 |
| 10-30 09:49 | Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | SELL | 0.17 | $445.19 |
| 10-29 17:00 | Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | BUY | 0.6798281632 | $1.8k |
| 10-29 14:47 | Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | SELL | 0.0268559397 | $309.24 |
| 10-27 16:18 | Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | BUY | 0.669952911 | $1.1k |
| 10-27 16:18 | Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | BUY | 0.077 | $342.08 |