Invesor1600
0x36547fcbebaaaf59ac0a93cd88f0124a5fd5f000
- Realised P&L
- $8.82
- Volume
- $872.51
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $6.14
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.032 | $6.14 | −$1.86 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · Yes | 0.055 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.00at 0.300Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$27.04at 0.270Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu by October 31?
- +$-2.14at 0.016Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?
- +$-5.17at 0.148Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" this week?
- +$-28.55at 0.492Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 10:15 | Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? | BUY | 0.041025641 | $8.00 |
| 10-31 10:06 | Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? | SELL | 0.009 | $2.86 |
| 10-31 09:59 | Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? | BUY | 0.015757337 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 09:58 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.42 | $126.00 |
| 10-31 09:56 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.327 | $56.45 |
| 10-23 16:33 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4924109023 | $85.00 |
| 10-23 16:32 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3 | $90.00 |
| 05-30 14:15 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 05-30 14:15 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 05-30 14:12 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 05-22 08:13 | Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" this week? | BUY | 0.1433349028 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 12:53 | Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | BUY | 0.0659999883 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 21:16 | Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | BUY | 0.0469999914 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 21:16 | Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu by October 31? | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |