nhjftu65
0x36515295af26bf4281c9d765d0c4f4e5ca9e0a36
- Realised P&L
- $-25.24
- Volume
- $10.6k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $0.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 10? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.018 | $0.45 | −$12.40 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 8? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.001 | $0.03 | −$12.85 |
| Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 31? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.12at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 31?
- +$13.23at 0.500Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5
- +$12.63at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 10?
- +$12.51at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 8?
- +$5.54at 0.972Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 12:23 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.991 | $6.36 |
| 09-28 14:57 | Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.99 |
| 08-31 15:20 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 1? | BUY | 0.998 | $8.56 |
| 07-06 09:10 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 7? | BUY | 0.988 | $9.87 |
| 07-05 03:04 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $420 in July? | BUY | 0.9850196319 | $8.03 |
| 06-24 01:25 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 22 above $180? | BUY | 0.985014197 | $11.10 |
| 06-18 02:03 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on June 19? | BUY | 0.985 | $7.33 |
| 06-11 01:13 | Spread: Australia (-2.5) | BUY | 0.989 | $8.21 |
| 06-04 11:54 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 5? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.88 |
| 05-22 00:21 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 23? | BUY | 0.953 | $18.11 |
| 05-16 02:31 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C or below on May 17? | BUY | 0.998 | $11.58 |
| 04-21 22:38 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C or higher on April 23? | BUY | 0.932 | $14.56 |
| 04-13 11:17 | Red Wings vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.74 | $7.92 |
| 02-17 05:24 | Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.973 | $809.54 |
| 02-17 05:23 | Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.971 | $939.93 |