baldinggoat
0x364b3856cc0ab866080e7f6701cf001470d4f9be
- Realised P&L
- $1.9k
- Volume
- $2.69M
- Markets traded
- 100
- Open portfolio
- $3.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded100
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$472.27at 0.520Spread: Suns (-12.5)
- +$288.19at 0.002Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
- +$265.58at 0.047Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
- +$150.00at 0.100Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?
- +$123.13at 0.044Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 00:57 | Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.032 | $173.99 |
| 10-22 00:56 | Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.036 | $2.17 |
| 10-13 21:34 | Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.039 | $58.50 |
| 10-06 22:01 | Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.031 | $242.88 |
| 09-25 22:49 | Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.012 | $14.61 |
| 09-23 21:07 | Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.03 | $171.96 |
| 09-23 21:05 | Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.038 | $665.53 |
| 09-17 22:02 | Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.032 | $299.96 |
| 09-17 21:58 | Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.042 | $168.00 |
| 09-11 23:59 | Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.038 | $113.54 |
| 09-11 23:52 | Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.043 | $26.45 |
| 09-11 23:46 | Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.063 | $242.34 |
| 09-11 23:28 | Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.059 | $56.73 |
| 08-31 22:52 | Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.011 | $74.25 |
| 08-31 22:52 | Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.011 | $34.96 |