Jk52
0x36395107942f35fc40991bc44a0e2f618b3c4186
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $131.3k
- Markets traded
- 517
- Open portfolio
- $437.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded517
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$188.48at 0.123Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
- +$181.09at 0.347Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 6?
- +$93.18at 0.356Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
- +$88.93at 0.190Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
- +$82.23at 0.448Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 21:46 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.9916288302 | $30.00 |
| 10-11 17:16 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.9003302566 | $70.00 |
| 10-11 15:39 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 12? | SELL | 0.6384033796 | $293.17 |
| 10-11 13:18 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.8587731802 | $70.00 |
| 10-10 18:33 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.6863858385 | $60.00 |
| 10-10 16:20 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 16:20 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 16:19 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.4 | $30.00 |
| 10-10 16:03 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.72 | $3.12 |
| 10-10 16:02 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.4488031904 | $150.00 |
| 10-10 15:53 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 07:57 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 21:58 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.4485568535 | $15.00 |
| 10-09 21:40 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.3465346397 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 21:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.3299999924 | $10.00 |