FuneralFog
0x3636c40719df4dd24d04b8d1a41b8a26be9234c4
- Realised P&L
- $621.38
- Volume
- $184.2k
- Markets traded
- 2,065
- Open portfolio
- $743.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,065
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$95.96at 0.639Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on July 25?
- +$50.50at 0.663Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C or higher on July 26?
- +$32.55at 0.709Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 25?
- +$25.00at 0.696Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on July 24?
- +$24.07at 0.040Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on September 20? | SELL | 0.945 | $9.45 |
| 09-20 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on September 20? | SELL | 0.945814 | $9.46 |
| 09-20 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on September 20? | SELL | 0.947 | $9.47 |
| 09-20 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on September 20? | SELL | 0.947 | $9.47 |
| 09-20 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on September 20? | SELL | 0.954 | $9.54 |
| 09-20 09:54 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 20? | SELL | 0.75 | $7.50 |
| 09-20 09:54 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 20? | SELL | 0.74656 | $7.47 |
| 09-20 09:54 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 20? | SELL | 0.74 | $7.40 |
| 09-20 09:54 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 20? | SELL | 0.74 | $7.40 |
| 09-20 09:54 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 20? | SELL | 0.74 | $7.40 |
| 09-20 08:26 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.83 | $8.30 |
| 09-20 08:25 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.88 | $8.80 |
| 09-20 08:25 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.89 | $8.90 |
| 09-20 08:25 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.9 | $9.00 |
| 09-20 08:25 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.91 | $9.10 |