0x3631Dcecc590c00604191729C7F8c9f89A884964-1730801349737
0x3631dcecc590c00604191729c7f8c9f89a884964
- Realised P&L
- $-257.29
- Volume
- $67.4k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $224.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$139.72at 0.933Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- +$109.66at 0.369Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?
- +$51.24at 0.487Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
- +$47.42at 0.055Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5
- +$46.23at 0.785Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 19:16 | Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $30.00 |
| 10-12 20:42 | Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0658192002 | $32.67 |
| 09-25 17:19 | Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.050870322 | $5.84 |
| 09-24 16:56 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.64 | $128.00 |
| 09-22 10:25 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? | SELL | 0.16 | $35.20 |
| 09-21 23:15 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.93 | $204.60 |
| 09-21 16:17 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | SELL | 0.971 | $203.91 |
| 09-20 11:28 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.93 | $195.30 |
| 09-20 11:27 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.9253093333 | $194.31 |
| 09-15 20:42 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $195.30 |
| 09-07 21:12 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | BUY | 0.858 | $102.27 |
| 09-04 12:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? | BUY | 0.71 | $7.10 |
| 09-04 12:28 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September? | SELL | 0.59 | $47.20 |
| 09-04 12:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? | SELL | 0.86 | $68.80 |
| 09-01 18:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | BUY | 0.82 | $49.20 |