PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3631Dcecc590c00604191729C7F8c9f89A884964-1730801349737

0x3631dcecc590c00604191729c7f8c9f89a884964

Realised P&L
$-257.29
Volume
$67.4k
Markets traded
69
Open portfolio
$224.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded69
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.9300.935$205.70+$1.10
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.044$18.86−$11.14
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in July? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Solana dip to $80 in September? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$15.60
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$10.20
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3590.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in September? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00−$8.85
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? · Yes0.7100.000$0.00−$71.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1090.000$0.00−$19.62
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$10.40
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$12.00
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.3750.000$0.00−$75.00
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$19.98
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$20.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 19:16Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0699999999$30.00
10-12 20:42Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?SELL0.0658192002$32.67
09-25 17:19Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?BUY0.050870322$5.84
09-24 16:56Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.64$128.00
09-22 10:25Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?SELL0.16$35.20
09-21 23:152026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.93$204.60
09-21 16:17Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?SELL0.971$203.91
09-20 11:28Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?BUY0.93$195.30
09-20 11:27Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.9253093333$194.31
09-15 20:42Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.93$195.30
09-07 21:12Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?BUY0.858$102.27
09-04 12:29Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?BUY0.71$7.10
09-04 12:28Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September?SELL0.59$47.20
09-04 12:28Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?SELL0.86$68.80
09-01 18:35Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?BUY0.82$49.20