elonbust.ai
0x362f27730e89efb06af26843f34a4d075488f6b9
- Realised P&L
- $-2.2k
- Volume
- $52.3k
- Markets traded
- 141
- Open portfolio
- $6.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded141
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.920 | 0.983 | $2.9k | +$185.23 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.841 | 0.955 | $2.7k | +$316.44 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.668 | 0.875 | $600.68 | +$142.32 |
| Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series? · No | 0.560 | 0.595 | $11.75 | +$0.69 |
| Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.246 | 0.055 | $11.19 | −$38.81 |
| Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.195 | $6.63 | +$0.51 |
| Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? · Yes | 0.329 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.90 |
| Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.834Thunder vs. Lakers
- +$258.62at 0.488Will Millwall FC win on 2026-05-11?
- +$221.39at 0.460Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees
- +$207.15at 0.338Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$141.69at 0.384Spurs vs. Trail Blazers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 09:05 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.66 | $78.94 |
| 08-07 05:54 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.67 | $117.92 |
| 08-07 04:18 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.67 | $117.92 |
| 08-06 18:48 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.67 | $117.92 |
| 08-05 04:05 | Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.3285320024 | $500.00 |
| 08-05 04:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8754732467 | $994.15 |
| 08-05 04:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9572493679 | $1.1k |
| 08-05 04:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.958 | $757.82 |
| 07-07 20:49 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $117.48 |
| 07-04 04:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $118.18 |
| 07-04 02:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $118.18 |
| 07-04 01:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $118.18 |
| 07-04 00:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $118.14 |
| 07-03 23:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $118.14 |
| 07-03 19:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $118.18 |