Lou1986
0x362cf3b065f95a8f0f3ec09d87bc7edc35f2ac6e
- Realised P&L
- $-3.0k
- Volume
- $113.5k
- Markets traded
- 927
- Open portfolio
- $139.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded927
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-20? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.645 | $32.25 | +$1.25 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.645 | $19.35 | +$0.15 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-20? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.475 | $19.00 | +$0.60 |
| Spread: FC Porto (-1.5) · FC Porto | 0.385 | 0.405 | $17.33 | +$0.87 |
| Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5) · BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 0.540 | 0.545 | $10.70 | +$0.10 |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.765 | $9.56 | +$0.19 |
| Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5) · Manchester City FC | 0.540 | 0.475 | $9.50 | −$1.30 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? · Yes | 0.217 | 0.215 | $8.60 | −$0.10 |
| Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5) · Liverpool FC | 0.410 | 0.415 | $8.30 | +$0.10 |
| Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5) · Club Atlético de Madrid | 0.260 | 0.265 | $5.30 | +$0.10 |
| Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.44 |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes | 0.246 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.50 |
| Spread: Bayern Munich (-1.5) · Bayern Munich | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.40 |
| Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5) · BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$494.40at 0.348Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?
- +$134.44at 0.549ATP Cincinnati - Shelton vs. Lehecka
- +$127.06at 0.380Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-02-01?
- +$119.52at 0.355Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
- +$110.16at 0.370Will Paris Saint-Germain beat Stuttgart?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 11:53 | Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5) | BUY | 0.26 | $5.20 |
| 10-20 11:47 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? | BUY | 0.22 | $6.60 |
| 10-20 11:45 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20? | SELL | 0.75 | $9.38 |
| 10-19 20:55 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.46 | $18.40 |
| 10-19 17:51 | Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5) | BUY | 0.54 | $10.80 |
| 10-19 17:48 | Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.62 | $12.40 |
| 10-19 17:47 | Spread: FC Porto (-1.5) | BUY | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 10-19 16:25 | Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5) | BUY | 0.54 | $10.61 |
| 10-19 16:23 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.75 | $18.75 |
| 10-19 16:18 | Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.41 | $8.20 |
| 10-19 16:16 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.64 | $19.20 |
| 10-19 16:13 | Spread: FC Porto (-1.5) | BUY | 0.38 | $8.66 |
| 10-19 16:12 | Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.62 | $18.60 |
| 10-04 18:42 | Greece vs. Germany: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.42 | $16.80 |
| 10-04 18:27 | Exact Score: Greece 1 - 1 Germany? | BUY | 0.12 | $4.80 |