Sagam
0x361bbaa49899a268b0e79110c3200482a4c0b1c7
- Realised P&L
- $-33.42
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $23.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nick Walker win Mr. Olympia 2026? · Yes | 0.642 | 0.405 | $23.97 | −$14.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$202.62at 0.541Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
- +$-236.04at 0.244Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 07:47 | Will Nick Walker win Mr. Olympia 2026? | BUY | 0.6420214866 | $38.00 |
| 04-20 02:10 | Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.999 | $441.61 |
| 04-02 20:34 | Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.6270628814 | $120.00 |
| 03-22 23:16 | Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.4991589927 | $99.00 |
| 03-01 13:48 | Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.3819999951 | $20.00 |
| 10-19 23:23 | Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | BUY | 0.04 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 22:50 | Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | BUY | 0.08 | $20.00 |
| 08-18 01:50 | Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | BUY | 0.25 | $100.00 |
| 08-17 17:41 | Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | BUY | 0.5899999965 | $146.84 |
| 08-17 00:15 | Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | SELL | 0.54 | $145.80 |
| 08-08 01:39 | Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | BUY | 0.3499999962 | $55.00 |
| 07-21 01:58 | Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | BUY | 0.2299999968 | $50.00 |