0x361917f681b02f8bc607eb9232ae371cfaee75b9
- Realised P&L
- $-11.23
- Volume
- $233.76
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $4.63
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration40.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C or below on September 18? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.165 | $4.62 | −$0.42 |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 16? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$2.69 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.08at 0.884Igdir FK vs. Manisa Futbol Kulubu: O/U 5.5
- +$1.07at 0.816Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 16?
- +$0.52at 0.698Will Atalanta BC vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?
- +$-0.23at 0.8932026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
- +$-0.37at 0.765Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 11:35 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.15 | $2.70 |
| 09-16 09:25 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.18 |
| 09-15 13:06 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 11:39 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.35 |
| 09-15 11:18 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | SELL | 0.846 | $4.23 |
| 09-13 14:20 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $2.55 |
| 09-13 14:18 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | SELL | 0.922 | $4.61 |
| 09-13 07:33 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.954 | $4.77 |
| 09-13 06:31 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | SELL | 0.87 | $5.54 |
| 09-12 23:23 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.88 | $5.61 |
| 09-12 22:36 | San Diego Wave FC vs. North Carolina Courage: O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.16 | $4.96 |
| 09-12 22:35 | San Diego Wave FC vs. North Carolina Courage: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.17 | $5.27 |
| 09-12 20:26 | Will Atalanta BC vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw? | SELL | 0.78 | $6.10 |
| 09-12 20:03 | Will Atalanta BC vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw? | BUY | 0.6799999489 | $5.32 |
| 09-12 18:52 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.73 | $5.36 |