Cpp1
0x3618ba9e38b2d8de42ea06cb35e36f2caabd21cf
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $565.2k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $154.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.145 | $120.83 | −$79.17 |
| Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.131 | 0.044 | $34.00 | −$66.00 |
| Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.358 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
| Will Iga Swiatek Win the WTA 1000 Toronto? · No | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$458.37 |
| Will Alibaba (BABA) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.50 |
| UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) · Ian Machado Garry | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$544.65at 0.566Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$281.35at 0.560Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
- +$199.42at 0.506Will SpaceX (SPCX) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$149.38at 0.772Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$138.54at 0.877Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 06:59 | Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting? | SELL | 0.031 | $2.63 |
| 09-09 06:55 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | SELL | 0.32 | $70.40 |
| 08-14 19:47 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.46 | $101.20 |
| 08-14 15:23 | Will Alibaba (BABA) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.35 | $3.50 |
| 08-13 06:10 | Will Iga Swiatek Win the WTA 1000 Toronto? | BUY | 0.6099999985 | $100.00 |
| 08-12 20:05 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6699999999 | $458.37 |
| 08-12 19:58 | UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.25 | $25.00 |
| 08-12 19:57 | National Bank Open: Coco Gauff vs Elena Rybakina | BUY | 0.449999998 | $100.00 |
| 08-10 16:59 | Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17? | SELL | 0.007 | $4.13 |
| 08-10 15:48 | Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17? | BUY | 0.1694918621 | $100.00 |
| 08-09 16:34 | Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.3579565087 | $150.00 |
| 08-06 20:35 | Will Cloudflare (NET) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.999 | $328.61 |
| 08-06 20:10 | Will Akamai Techs (AKAM) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.999 | $505.66 |
| 08-06 13:35 | Will Cloudflare (NET) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.911999999 | $300.00 |
| 08-05 20:43 | Will Akamai Techs (AKAM) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.8099999997 | $410.00 |