0x361361da1313e396077d39ec8031d25568bf79e1
0x361361da1313e396077d39ec8031d25568bf79e1
- Realised P&L
- $-70.5k
- Volume
- $7.95M
- Markets traded
- 1,511
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,511
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.2kat 0.553Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$9.9kat 0.383If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
- +$7.7kat 0.812Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?
- +$4.7kat 0.755NBA Playoffs: Celtics vs. Knicks (To Advance)
- +$4.7kat 0.281Pacers vs. Cavaliers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 14:46 | Sabres vs. Blue Jackets | BUY | 0.52 | $167.66 |
| 09-30 14:43 | Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5) | BUY | 0.32 | $64.00 |
| 09-30 06:17 | Canadiens vs. Penguins | BUY | 0.5185883096 | $114.98 |
| 09-30 06:15 | Will Ivar Stenberg win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy? | BUY | 0.1631491527 | $160.60 |
| 09-30 06:13 | Will Nikita Kucherov record 100+ points? | BUY | 0.14 | $82.60 |
| 09-30 06:12 | Will the Montreal Canadiens record 100+ points? | BUY | 0.51 | $61.20 |
| 09-29 03:05 | Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs | BUY | 0.51 | $306.00 |
| 09-29 03:05 | Will Auston Matthews record 100+ points? | BUY | 0.13 | $38.45 |
| 09-29 03:02 | Will Kirill Marchenko record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season? | BUY | 0.34 | $238.00 |
| 09-29 03:02 | Will Ivan Demidov record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season? | BUY | 0.3 | $237.00 |
| 09-29 03:01 | Will Lane Hutson record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season? | BUY | 0.44 | $176.00 |
| 07-19 19:12 | Spread: Spain (-1.5) | BUY | 0.2125 | $12.75 |
| 07-15 19:01 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.228 | $45.60 |
| 07-12 03:13 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.2424999943 | $30.00 |
| 07-12 03:12 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.219 | $131.40 |