PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

VabagundoM

0x3611755250e5ab63e5ab6b4e4ad2f7020f6310a7

Realised P&L
$-28.61
Volume
$6.6k
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$1.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0890.001$1.30$115.13
Will Poland win Junior Eurovision 2025? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$8.80
Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? · Avatar0.0150.000$0.00$31.00
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00$4.40
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$1.98
Will Chainlink hit $30 before August? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00$11.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-03 17:00Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.0373488772$3.48
05-13 22:37Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.009$1.98
04-12 22:03Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.11$11.00
12-16 00:28Will Google One be #1 Grossing App in Play Store on December 19?BUY0.9668095165$5.00
05-12 11:49XRP above $2.50 on May 16?BUY0.45$9.00
04-26 19:07Copa del Rey Final: Real Madrid vs. BarcelonaBUY0.57$4.56
04-20 12:25Ripple above $2.10 on April 25?BUY0.43$3.01
04-15 14:06Ripple above $2.00 on April 18?BUY0.8099999426$2.40
04-11 09:11Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?BUY0.32$25.60
02-19 22:47Will Spain win Eurovision 2025?BUY0.995$7.96
01-17 14:12Will Barcelona win La Liga?BUY0.26$52.00
01-03 13:55Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?BUY0.92$27.60
12-06 22:52Will SOL flip XRP again in 2024?BUY0.4899999991$31.11
11-30 17:30Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?BUY0.9599999762$29.00
11-29 09:58Ripple above $1.46 on November 29?BUY0.9779999998$9.00