0x36039800a48b640fddae7b64f36aa54400f2ddbd
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $8.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.001 | 0.001 | $7.50 | −$7.49 |
| 1win FDV above $70M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.001 | $1.23 | −$51.42 |
| 1win FDV above $150M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.134 | 0.001 | $0.09 | −$25.14 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET · Down | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET · Down | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-1.00at 0.010Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
- +$-1.00at 0.010Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
- +$-1.00at 0.010Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
- +$-1.00at 0.010Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
- +$-1.00at 0.001Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | BUY | 0.09 | $0.90 |
| 11-01 21:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 11-01 21:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BUY | 0.4099999535 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 21:43 | 1win FDV above $70M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 18:36 | Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $15.00 |
| 10-31 23:03 | Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $28.92 |
| 10-31 16:22 | Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4369999082 | $1.20 |
| 10-31 16:20 | Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.389 | $3.89 |
| 10-31 16:15 | Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.448 | $4.48 |