0x36024c40ae26789e517c0a67753732d6c0e598df
0x36024c40ae26789e517c0a67753732d6c0e598df
- Realised P&L
- $190.03
- Volume
- $14.6k
- Markets traded
- 130
- Open portfolio
- $26.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded130
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on November 2? · Yes | 0.296 | 0.455 | $25.55 | +$8.95 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on November 2? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.009 | $1.04 | −$0.67 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on November 3? · Yes | 0.113 | 0.010 | $0.30 | −$3.14 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.02at 0.249Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 22?
- +$35.16at 0.120Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 10?
- +$33.00at 0.325Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 31?
- +$27.61at 0.358Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 27?
- +$22.80at 0.400Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 00:08 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.013 | $1.04 |
| 11-02 00:07 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.012 | $0.12 |
| 10-24 13:59 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 25? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.82 |
| 10-24 13:51 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 25? | BUY | 0.14 | $2.80 |
| 10-22 15:24 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 23? | SELL | 0.28 | $6.16 |
| 10-22 14:52 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 23? | BUY | 0.24 | $14.40 |
| 10-22 14:49 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 23? | BUY | 0.55 | $15.40 |
| 06-04 01:42 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 4? | BUY | 0.97 | $42.35 |
| 06-04 01:38 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 4? | BUY | 0.97 | $48.50 |
| 06-03 00:40 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 3? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.40 |
| 05-30 08:03 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 31? | SELL | 0.34 | $3.40 |
| 05-27 13:23 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 28? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 05-27 01:54 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 28? | SELL | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 05-16 09:58 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 18? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 05-16 09:55 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 17? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.45 |