Bradking
0x35fe6793c59182007e8876057aa9648631868509
- Realised P&L
- $-22.8k
- Volume
- $586.5k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $4.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration88.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.223 | 0.075 | $3.1k | −$6.0k |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · Yes | 0.108 | 0.044 | $407.86 | −$592.13 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes | 0.151 | 0.055 | $399.59 | −$700.41 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes | 0.118 | 0.034 | $283.13 | −$716.87 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes | 0.173 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? · Yes | 0.181 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.2k |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? · Yes | 0.404 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.0k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$95.82 |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.347 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$44.48 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.204Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$129.53at 0.398Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 5?
- +$38.26at 0.261Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 3?
- +$30.02at 0.250Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on March 28?
- +$15.98at 0.494Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on April 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-14 03:30 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.2299999999 | $2.0k |
| 04-14 03:21 | US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $24.90 |
| 04-08 18:45 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.2224214043 | $5.0k |
| 04-08 18:43 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.1505981004 | $1.0k |
| 04-08 18:41 | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.1078789616 | $1000.00 |
| 04-08 18:40 | Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1183211833 | $1000.00 |
| 04-08 14:22 | Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.25 | $100.00 |
| 04-08 14:20 | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3470208285 | $44.48 |
| 04-08 05:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | BUY | 0.4199999977 | $91.65 |
| 04-08 05:06 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $100.00 |
| 04-08 05:04 | US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.4012148063 | $10.00 |
| 04-08 05:01 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $100.00 |
| 04-08 05:00 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $100.00 |
| 04-06 08:52 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 6? | BUY | 0.6730090386 | $79.23 |
| 04-05 17:38 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 5? | SELL | 0.997 | $215.69 |