PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

BobAxelrod

0x35fb9ff237ffe318d6e8b2d026dc339134bb8511

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$312.7k
Markets traded
735
Open portfolio
$66.26

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded735
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration65.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 27? · Yes0.3740.370$46.25−$0.55
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 26? · Yes0.4501.000$19.99+$10.99
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 26? · Yes0.4300.001$0.01−$8.59
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 26? · Yes0.4800.001$0.01−$9.59
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 25? · Yes0.3170.000$0.00−$6.35
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 26? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$4.77
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on September 25? · Yes0.4160.000$0.00−$4.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 19:46Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 27?BUY0.38$28.50
09-26 19:45Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 27?BUY0.37$11.10
09-26 19:45Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 27?BUY0.36$3.60
09-26 19:44Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 27?BUY0.36$3.60
09-26 06:08Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 26?BUY0.48$9.60
09-26 04:09Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 26?BUY0.43$8.60
09-25 18:14Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 26?BUY0.45$9.00
09-25 16:06Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 26?BUY0.18$4.77
09-25 05:12Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 25?BUY0.33$1.65
09-25 05:11Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 25?BUY0.32$1.60
09-25 05:10Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 25?BUY0.31$1.55
09-25 05:08Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 25?BUY0.31$1.55
09-25 05:07Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 25?BUY0.45$13.75
09-25 04:50Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on September 25?BUY0.4158333333$4.99
09-25 04:49Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 25?BUY0.51$5.10