BobAxelrod
0x35fb9ff237ffe318d6e8b2d026dc339134bb8511
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $238.7k
- Markets traded
- 455
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded455
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.036Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 21?
- +$983.33at 0.425Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 22?
- +$954.30at 0.447Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 23?
- +$892.57at 0.210Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 17?
- +$792.07at 0.337Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 03:03 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.51 | $4.08 |
| 08-07 02:59 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.53 | $4.24 |
| 08-07 02:58 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.526 | $10.52 |
| 08-07 02:56 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.4774 | $23.87 |
| 08-07 02:56 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.46 | $3.68 |
| 08-07 02:55 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.53 | $26.50 |
| 08-07 02:54 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.53 | $26.50 |
| 08-07 02:54 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.486697 | $48.67 |
| 08-07 02:49 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.3 | $9.00 |
| 08-07 02:48 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.3 | $9.00 |
| 08-07 02:47 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.3 | $2.40 |
| 08-07 02:47 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.2942857143 | $10.30 |
| 08-07 02:46 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.1953495558 | $19.79 |
| 08-07 02:46 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.195 | $3.53 |
| 08-07 02:45 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.1793845663 | $8.44 |