BobAxelrod
0x35fb9ff237ffe318d6e8b2d026dc339134bb8511
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $312.7k
- Markets traded
- 735
- Open portfolio
- $66.26
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded735
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 27? · Yes | 0.374 | 0.370 | $46.25 | −$0.55 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 26? · Yes | 0.450 | 1.000 | $19.99 | +$10.99 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 26? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$8.59 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 26? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$9.59 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 25? · Yes | 0.317 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.35 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 26? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.77 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on September 25? · Yes | 0.416 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.037Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 21?
- +$952.06at 0.437Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 22?
- +$933.63at 0.459Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 23?
- +$883.29at 0.219Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 17?
- +$778.57at 0.348Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 19:46 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.38 | $28.50 |
| 09-26 19:45 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.37 | $11.10 |
| 09-26 19:45 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.36 | $3.60 |
| 09-26 19:44 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.36 | $3.60 |
| 09-26 06:08 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.48 | $9.60 |
| 09-26 04:09 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.43 | $8.60 |
| 09-25 18:14 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.45 | $9.00 |
| 09-25 16:06 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.18 | $4.77 |
| 09-25 05:12 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 09-25 05:11 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 09-25 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 09-25 05:08 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 09-25 05:07 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.45 | $13.75 |
| 09-25 04:50 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.4158333333 | $4.99 |
| 09-25 04:49 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.51 | $5.10 |